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DTN Midday Grain Comments 10/02 10:50
Corn, Wheat Futures Higher at Midday; Soybeans Lower
Corn futures are 4 to 5 cents higher at midday Wednesday; soybean futures
are 5 to 6 cents lower; wheat futures are 16 to 23 cents higher.
David M. Fiala
DTN Contributing Analyst
MARKET SUMMARY:
Corn futures are 4 to 5 cents higher at midday Wednesday; soybean futures
are 5 to 6 cents lower; wheat futures are 16 to 23 cents higher. The U.S. stock
market is firmer at midday with the S&P 10 points higher. The U.S. Dollar Index
is 45 points higher. The interest rate products are weaker. Energy trade has
crude .55 higher and natural gas is .02 higher. Livestock trade is sharply
higher. Precious metals are mixed with gold off 23.00.
CORN:
Corn futures are 4 to 5 cents higher at midday with trade again pressing to
a new high for the move with steady spread action with spillover support from
wheat helping to keep buying going as harvest pressure builds. The weekly
ethanol report showed stocks flat and production 21,000 barrels per day (bpd)
higher. Weather looks to return to warm and dry for most to keep harvest moving
along quickly into early October. Basis action should see more pressure as
bushels accumulate in the short term. Weekly export sales are expected to be in
the 650,000 to 850,000 metric ton (mt) range Thursday. On the December chart,
the 20-day moving average at $4.12 is support with the next round up at the
fresh high at $4.34 1/4.
SOYBEANS:
Soybean futures are 5 to 6 cents lower with trade firming again from the
overnight lows with oil leading the product complex. Meal is 8.00 to 9.00 lower
and oil is 75 to 85 points higher. Warm and dry weather should push harvest
pace with the current pattern carrying into midmonth. South America will
continue to look for rains in the second week of the forecast to expand
planting with warm and dry conditions for the balance of this week. Weekly
export sales are expected to be in the 1.0 to 1.25 million metric ton (mmt)
range. Basis will likely continue to soften in the short term. The November
chart support is at the 20-day moving average at $10.25, with the fresh high at
$10.69 3/4 as resistance.
WHEAT:
Wheat futures are 16 to 23 cents higher at midday with trade pressing into
fresh highs for the move with risk-on buying on weather and geopolitical
concerns with KC action leading. Warm and dry weather will likely slow Plains
planting pace a bit with some progress to continue amid row-crop harvest. The
dollar continues to firm back toward the middle of the range with MATIF wheat
up sharply as well. On the KC December chart, support is the 20-day moving
average at $5.82, with the fresh high at $6.22 the next level up.
David Fiala can be reached at dfiala@futuresone.com
Follow him on social platform X @davidfiala
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